TCS shares under pressure after weak Q4 results, target price cuts. Should you buy, sell or hold? 2025 best

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Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), India’s largest IT services company, recently announced its fourth-quarter (Q4) results for the financial year 2024-25 (FY25). The report highlighted a 9.1% year-on-year increase in net profit, reaching ₹12,434 crore. However, revenue growth was modest, with a 3.5% year-on-year rise to ₹61,237 crore, slightly missing analyst expectations. citeturn0search0

Key Highlights:

  • Revenue: ₹61,237 crore, a 3.5% YoY growth, slightly below the projected ₹61,400 crore.
  • Net Profit: ₹12,434 crore, up 9.1% YoY.
  • EBIT Margin: Expanded by 100 basis points to 26%, marking a three-year high.
  • Deal Wins: Achieved a record total contract value (TCV) of $13.2 billion for the quarter, bringing the annual TCV to $42.7 billion. citeturn0search6

Regional and Sectoral Performance:

  • North America: Experienced a 2.3% decline, attributed to tariff-related uncertainties affecting corporate IT budgets.
  • India: Showed robust growth with a 37.9% YoY increase.
  • UK: Grew by 6.2%.
  • Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI): Grew by 0.9% YoY in constant currency terms. citeturn0search1

Analyst Perspectives:

Following the earnings release, various analysts provided their insights:

  • JPMorgan: Upgraded TCS to “Overweight,” raising the price target to ₹4,500, citing record deal wins and a strong EBIT margin as positive indicators for FY25. citeturn0search2
  • Goldman Sachs: Maintained a “Buy” rating with a price target of ₹4,350, expressing optimism about TCS’s earnings growth prospects.
  • UBS: Issued a “Buy” rating with a price target of ₹4,700, highlighting TCS’s potential to lead in revenue growth and margin improvement in FY25.
  • Nomura: Maintained a “Reduce” rating with a price target of ₹3,250, citing concerns over near-term growth visibility and limited margin expansion without significant growth.

Investment Considerations:

The mixed analyst reactions suggest a nuanced outlook for TCS:

  • Positive Indicators: Record deal wins and a strong EBIT margin position TCS favorably for future growth.
  • Cautionary Notes: Challenges in North America and conservative management commentary on growth prospects indicate potential headwinds.

Recommendation:

Given the current market dynamics and TCS’s performance, investors should approach TCS shares with caution. While the company exhibits strong capabilities, the mixed analyst views and market pressures suggest a “Hold” position for existing investors. Prospective investors might consider waiting for clearer signals of sustained growth before initiating new positions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult financial advisors before making investment decisions.Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), India’s largest IT services company, recently announced its fourth-quarter (Q4) results for the financial year 2024-25 (FY25). The report highlighted a 9.1% year-on-year increase in net profit, reaching ₹12,434 crore. However, revenue growth was modest, with a 3.5% year-on-year rise to ₹61,237 crore, slightly missing analyst expectations. citeturn0search0

Key Highlights:

  • Revenue: ₹61,237 crore, a 3.5% YoY growth, slightly below the projected ₹61,400 crore.
  • Net Profit: ₹12,434 crore, up 9.1% YoY.
  • EBIT Margin: Expanded by 100 basis points to 26%, marking a three-year high.
  • Deal Wins: Achieved a record total contract value (TCV) of $13.2 billion for the quarter, bringing the annual TCV to $42.7 billion. citeturn0search6

Regional and Sectoral Performance:

  • North America: Experienced a 2.3% decline, attributed to tariff-related uncertainties affecting corporate IT budgets.
  • India: Showed robust growth with a 37.9% YoY increase.
  • UK: Grew by 6.2%.
  • Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI): Grew by 0.9% YoY in constant currency terms. citeturn0search1

Analyst Perspectives:

Following the earnings release, various analysts provided their insights:

  • JPMorgan: Upgraded TCS to “Overweight,” raising the price target to ₹4,500, citing record deal wins and a strong EBIT margin as positive indicators for FY25. citeturn0search2
  • Goldman Sachs: Maintained a “Buy” rating with a price target of ₹4,350, expressing optimism about TCS’s earnings growth prospects.
  • UBS: Issued a “Buy” rating with a price target of ₹4,700, highlighting TCS’s potential to lead in revenue growth and margin improvement in FY25.
  • Nomura: Maintained a “Reduce” rating with a price target of ₹3,250, citing concerns over near-term growth visibility and limited margin expansion without significant growth.

Investment Considerations:

The mixed analyst reactions suggest a nuanced outlook for TCS:

  • Positive Indicators: Record deal wins and a strong EBIT margin position TCS favorably for future growth.
  • Cautionary Notes: Challenges in North America and conservative management commentary on growth prospects indicate potential headwinds.

Recommendation:

Given the current market dynamics and TCS’s performance, investors should approach TCS shares with caution. While the company exhibits strong capabilities, the mixed analyst views and market pressures suggest a “Hold” position for existing investors. Prospective investors might consider waiting for clearer signals of sustained growth before initiating new positions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult financial advisors before making investment decisions.

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